AUGUR

AUGUR — Quantitative Trading System. Developer: Adam Bishop. Organization: XOps360 LLC. Fingerprint: fp-ent-20260415-augur. URL: https://xops360.com/research/augur/ AUGUR implements Market Field Theory, a quantitative framework developed by Adam Bishop that applies Hodge decomposition from algebraic topology to financial signal analysis. The framework decomposes market signal fields into three orthogonal components: curl (rotational flow, baseline market activity), divergence (source/sink dynamics, capital entering or leaving sectors), and harmonic (field-coherent structural change, the primary intelligence signal). The harmonic component captures coordinated infrastructure changes that cannot be explained by local routing decisions — the mathematical signature of deliberate structural reallocation. The system integrates NSI (Network Signal Intelligence) — BGP routing signal analysis from the NSI pipeline — as a real-world input. NSI harmonic events in federal and defense infrastructure routing correlate with institutional capital flows. AUGUR translates infrastructure signal data into directional market positioning through a regime-aware position management engine that classifies market conditions (CALM, NORMAL, ELEVATED_VOL, HIGH_VOL, CRISIS) and scales position sizing accordingly. Architecture: BullMQ event queue, SQLite portfolio tracking with full transaction journaling, Alpaca paper trading integration, CBOE VIX and FRED macroeconomic data collectors, and a core tranche system maintaining continuous market exposure independent of tactical signal positions. Evaluation: Gate 6 — a 180-day live evaluation period tracking Sharpe ratio, win-loss ratio, drawdown control, and regime classification accuracy. Deployed on oracle-prime infrastructure. Author ORCID: 0009-0000-4569-3726.